Welcome! I am a postdoctoral researcher at Católica Lisbon School of Business and Economics. In 2025, I will join the Department of Economics at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign as an Assistant Professor.

I received my PhD from the University of Chicago in 2024. 

My research fields are international trade, international macroeconomics, and labor.

CV

Email: marcossora@gmail.com

Publications

Macroprudential policy for internal financial dollarization (with Aleksei Oskolkov).
Journal of International Economics, 2023, Volume 143. Working paper version

We study macroprudential policy aimed at domestic debt denominated in different currencies. We model a small open economy with entrepreneurs and workers who save and borrow in domestic and foreign currency. Financial frictions make dollar debt on entrepreneurs' balance sheets especially disruptive when the exchange rate depreciates. Falling output causes additional depreciation; this amplification provides a rationale for de-dollarization. On the other hand, de-dollarization is costly because the dollar savings of domestic workers provide them with insurance. We characterize the social marginal benefits and costs of de-dollarization in this context. The social marginal costs are associated with a deterioration in risk-sharing and can be expressed in terms of the interest rate premium on domestic currency assets. We find that these costs are of second order around the unregulated equilibrium but play a role for optimal policy.

Working papers

Commodity price booms lead to substantial wage differentials and increased employment in the commodity sector. This paper investigates the role of uncertainty regarding the duration of such booms in explaining wage differentials, the speed of labor reallocation, and the characteristics of workers who switch sectors. In a standard dynamic discrete choice model with sector-specific human capital the impact of duration risk on labor supply is theoretically ambiguous because workers' retain the option of exiting the booming sector. I apply the model to study the effects of the 2011-2018 mineral price boom on Australia, an exporter of mineral products. After estimating the model using novel matched employer-employee data I study a counterfactual scenario where the end date of the mining boom was known with certainty. I find that the mining’s share of employment in Australia would have increased from 3.7% to 4.4%, wage inequality would have decreased, and the mining sector would have attracted substantially fewer middle-aged workers. The option value mechanism outlined in the theory explains heterogeneous attitudes towards risk for workers of different age groups.


Work in progress

Banks, Market Segmentation, and Local Development (with Olivia Bordeu and Gustavo González).  

We study how bank branches' local market power in interest-rate setting and frictions in the interbank market lead to misallocation of investment across cities. Using loan-level data from Chile, we document interest rate differences both across cities within the same bank and between banks within the same city, consistent with the theoretical mechanisms we propose. We develop a quantitative spatial model with banks that allows us to quantify the impact of the bank network on spatial inequality. Preliminary analysis indicates that pro-competitive reforms in the banking sector increase aggregate welfare by 1.63% and lead to significant reductions in spatial inequality.


Trade and financial dollarization: Theory and firm-level evidence (with Aleksei Oskolkov).  

We study the currency invoicing decision of Peruvian exporters during a period of de-dollarization of the national financial system. Between 1993 and 2007 the macroeconomy stabilized and the uncovered interest parity, the premium on local currency debt, fell. We study how exporters responded to the change in the relative price of debt in different currencies by shifting the currency in which they invoiced their exports. This sheds light on the link between the roles that the dollar plays globally in finance and trade. Differential debt requirements by sector allow us to isolate the effect of this mechanism.